In an age of global uncertainty it has become increasingly difficult to work out what exactly should be done next.
There is a special kind of intelligence for dealing with risk and uncertainty. It doesn’t correlate with IQ and most psychologists fail to spot it because it is found in such a disparate, rag-tag group of people such as weather-forecasters, professional gamblers and hedge-fund managers. Many people in positions which require high risk intelligence - doctors, financial regulators and bankers - seem unable to navigate doubt and uncertainty.
Risk intelligence expert Dylan Evans visits the RSA to provide a traveller’s guide to the twilight zone of probabilities and speculation, arguing that we can all learn a lot from expert gamblers, not just about money, but in areas as diverse as dealing with climate change to combating terrorism.